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Winning Racing Tips Final Review Summary

Winning Racing Tips Final Review Summary

winning racing tips

Ok I do not have a great lot of personal knowledge to report here for Winning Racing Tips as I have been let down by two reviewers that simply didnt reach the heights of some of our most eperienced reviewers. I wont mention any names incase i forget someone! I have spent the past 2 hours going through every single post about Winning Racing Tips made by Sgt Danny

It seems that Winning Racing Tips has not performed to its supposed potential in the 84 day trial. The system though has shown a profit of +7.33 points in 84 days.


I cannot fail Winning Racing Tips because It has actually made a profit to level stakes in the time we have reviewed it. I can safely say 95% of reviews end in misery because results simply dont cut the mustard.

Winning Racing Tips is going to get a Neutral Rating and 2.5 stars for its 84 day review. Winning Racing Tips has indeed stood the test of time in the review and posted a profit so all is not bad.


Starting Bank 1,000

Bank end of day 84  = 1,182

Points Profit/loss + 7.33


Cheers

BSG Rating: ★★½☆☆

Winning Racing Tips


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Winning Racing Tips Day 80 – 84

Winning Racing Tips Day 80 – 84


Monday 19th July


Each Way Value:

2.45 Yarmouth 2. A Little Bit Dusty 0.4pt e/w (5/1 Paddy*/Lads*/SJ*)
& 4. Highlife Dancer 0.2pt e/w (10/1 Boyles*, 9/1 Bet365*/vcbet*)
We've missed some bigger prices on A Little Bit Dusty but I'm still happy
with around 5/1 as I think its place chances are shorter than Evens. (If
you can get above 6.25 and 2.05 on the exchange then by all means use
Betfair.) A Little Bit Dusty has ran well both starts including over this
distance last time out only beaten a half length. Highlife Dancer showed
promise on debut and ran out of sorts last time out, not handling the
track. However his debut form puts him in the mix in this, Mick Channon has
won this race 3 times in the last 7 years and is a nice price at 10/1. 

Result  1st Highlife dancer held up behind, headway on inside over 1f out,
            ridden to lead inside final furlong, held on well 

            A Little bit dusty, 6th went left start, chased leaders,
                                ridden and weakened inside final furlong  

Tuesday 20th July 
Each Way Value:

No Selections today.

Wednesday 21st July 
Each Way Value:

2.00 Lingfield 11. So Choosy 0.4pt e/w (13/2 Betinternet*, 6/1
Paddypower*/Bluesquare )
Finishing 6th of 7 on debut doesn't look too encouraging on first
inspection however So Choosy was basically on the wrong side of a blanket
finish for 2nd place in that race, wasn't knocked about and was only beaten
a short distance. So taking all into account it wasn't a bad run. Apart
from the favourite there is a lack of form in this race and with this one
being from the Hannon stable improvement is likely especially with Richard
Hughes taking over on top. He has a remarkable 38% strike rate on the
stables juveniles this year. 

Result 9th raced wide, held up, weakened over 2f out

2.50 Worcester 3. Admiral Dundas 0.7pt e/w (5/1 Betinternet,
Bet365*/VCBet*)
This one was good on the flat and has improved both starts as a hurdler
over course and distance. Only beaten 2 and a half lengths last time out by
the second favourite having given up some ground when making a mistake at
the second last. His jumping will probably need to be better today but he
faces Dreamwalk on better terms with that one carrying a penalty. The
favourite obviously has ability but isn't guaranteed to be suited by the
ground and carries a massive double penalty today. The rest of the field
either have poor form or no form which makes this a very good value bet. 

Result Non Runner

Thursday 22nd July 
Each Way Value:

No selections today.

So Choosy (as short as 1.63 to place on the exchange) ran a shocker
yesterday and either didn't take to the surface or is one of the worst
2yo's in the Hannon yard.
Admiral Dundas was a non runner.

Friday 23rd July 
Each Way Value:

5.45 Southwell 1. Thomas Bell 0.5pt e/w (9/2 Betinternet*/Sportingbet)
A rare bet in a bumper race today with this one which won last time out.
He looked to be running green that day and is open to improvement. The
penalty does make life harder for him today but his jockey takes off 7lb
which will help, the race he won was only a 6 runner event but a couple of
the horses he beat had decent bumper form behind them at that reads well in
the context of this race. I dont like the look of most of the field here
and outside the selection and the favourite I only rate Nonobu and St
Encoder as dangers. You can ignore the first run of Thomas Bell as he was
unwell and broke a blood vessel and he looks to have every chance today

Result 9th held up in rear, took keen hold, headway and hung right over 6f out,
           ran wide and weakened over 3f out

Starting Bank 1,000

Bank end of day 79 1,187

Bank end of day 84 1,182

Points Profit/loss + 7.33

That brings the end to the 84 day trial of Winning racing tips,
 i will be putting my final review up tomorrow evening 

Regards 

Danny 



[Click here to see Winning Racing tips...]

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Winning Racing Tips Day 73 – 79

Winning Racing Tips Day 73 – 79


Monday 12th July


Each Way Value:
No selections today, the one race that I came closest to a bet in doesn't
really offer any value each way

Tuesday 13th July 
Each Way Value:
6.30 Yarmouth 1. Ahlaain 0.4pt e/w (6/1 Betinternet* 11/2 Bluesquare, 5/1
Ladbrokes*/Bet365*)
With so many newcomers involved there's always gonna be the inevitable
guesswork involved but chances are most will need the run and this ones
fourth place, beaten by 4 1/2 lengths at Newmarket, is the closest any of
these have come to winning a race. If going on from that, it is very hard
not see him involved here.

Result,2nd dwelt, soon tracked winner, led halfway, ridden and headed 1f out,
                  led again inside final furlong, headed

Wednesday 14th July 
Each Way Value:
Ahlaain hit an in-play low of 1.44 yesterday before getting nailed on the
line.

3.30 Lingfield 5. Free As A Lark 0.4pt e/w (11/1 Betinternet* or 8/1
Bet365*/Hills*) You can get 9/1 with Sporting but theres a chance it'll
drift so best use a Best Odds Gauranteed bookie.

Another day another silly price from Betinternet. This is actually value
at 8/1 in my opinion and if you haven't got an account with Betinternet
then open one and take advantage whenever you can.
This race is being being billed as a two horse race which is good news for
each way backers, particulary as Free As A Lark has placed form last time
out. Free As A Lark was only narrowly beaten last time out over 8f at
Yarmouth and although looking at the form in depth it does look on paper
below that of the two market leaders, at the price we can take the risk.
The only others to have a shout look to be two of the newcomers, and
although nothing's certain in this game, I'd take a horse with the form of
Free As A Lark over most newcomers every time. 

4.00 Lingfield 6. Freckenham 0.5pt e/w (7/1 Ladbrokes*/Hills*/VCBet*)
This is a race I give only 5 a chance in. Of those 2 are newcomers, 2 are
once raced un-exposed types that are expected to show a degree of
improvement. Then there's Freckenham who has already shown ability when a
closing 3rd last time out, but also has scope for improvement having run
distinctly green. It's a new surface for almost all of these but Freckenham
still looks a nice price on whats she's achieved and would be no surprise
if she turned out decent being out of Exceed and Excel.

Result 4th, Free as a Lark  tracked leaders, ridden and kept on same pace final 2f

        2nd, Freckenham led after 1f, ridden 2f out, headed inside final furlong,
                         kept on 

Wednesday 14th July Evening 
Each Way Value:

8.10 Worcester 2. All Thyne Greats 0.2pt e/w (9/1 StanJames*, 17/2
Betinternet*, 8/1 Elsewhere)
Not one to get carried away with but there has to be each way value in
here somewhere with Bobble Hat Bob at 4/11.
I don't normally like considering Point to Point form but in the context
of this motley crew it has to be taken into account.
So All Thyne Greats is the each way pick but only to small stakes.

Result 5th, All Thyne Greats led until ridden approaching 3 out,
            weakened after next, mistake and hampere

Thursday 15th July

Each Way Value:
Another close 2nd yesterday which isn't really helping us much, just have
to be patient.

2.00 Cartmel 7. Osbaldeston 0.2pt e/w (11/1 Betinternet* or 10/1
Bet365*/WillHill*)
On form shown so far this looks a match between the top two, however the
each way value is elsewhere.
Most of these are pretty exposed and although Osbaldeston wouldn't be my
most confident selection, he has shown obvious improvement with each run,
looks the only really unexposed one in this and is value at 10s or above. 

4.00 Hamilton 8. Opening Nite 0.2pt e/w (22/1 Betinternet* or 20/1
StanJames*)
This is another race which offers obvious each way value with it being 8
runners with the favourite at 4/6, but isn't one ot get carried away with
as there are lots with place chances. With that in mind I'm keeping stakes
small and going for what I believe looks the best value from around 5 that
have shown ability. Opening Nite was a 4 length 4th on debut at Redcar,
just behind a 74 rated horse. He wasn't given a particulary hard time, come
off the pace and looks to have impovement in him. If showing normal
improvement for the run and also for the extra 1f then he could be
thereabouts. The tissue on this was 13/2 however they are quite keen to lay
this at big prices on Betfair. But who knows who these people are.
Interestingly Ladbrokes ducked it going only 10/1

Result PU, Osbaldeston mid-division, not fluent 7th, effort approaching 3 out,
                   no impression, pulled up before last

       5th, Opening Night dwelt, soon tracked leaders, ridden 3f out,
                          weakened 2f out  

Friday 16th July

Each Way Value:
6.35 Pontefract 4. El Viento 0.8pt e/w (7/2 Bet365*/StanJames*/Totesport*)

This one looked a winner waiting to happen last time out when a close 2nd
after losing ground mid race over 5f at Beverley.
He finished in front of a next time out winner that day further franking
the form and the extra 1f should hopefully negate any trouble in running
this time. Plus the Fahey 2yos are having a fine season. Theres mainly
newcomers outside of the top two int he market here to fear and with 11
runners there is the danger of something lurking in there which is what
stops this being a larger stake. 3lb Claimer Barry McHugh takes the ride on
this one which might look a concern but he actually has a 3/12 25% strike
rate on Richard Fahey 2yo's.
Result 9th, chased leaders, lost place over 4f out, ridden and weakened over 2f out

Saturday 17th July

Each Way Value:

7.20 Lingfield 8. Hard Bargain 0.4pt e/w (7/1 Bet365*/Sky/Sportingbet)
The downside to this race is that there are 14 runners. The positives are
many however. This one was 3rd of 18 on debut only
losing out very narrowly to two more experienced rivals and finishing
ahead of at least one future winner. Of the others Silken Thoughts and
Midnight Rider have shown some form and could improve, and the favourite
had a fair debut in a strong race at Newmarket but will have to improve to
justify a price so short. You'd struggle to make a case for the others and
at 7/1 Hard Bargain looks a decent price for a horse that judged on his
debut should be winning before long.

Result 6th mid-division, ridden and one pace final 2f

4.05 Newmarket 2. City Ground
Very Hard to see this one out of the top 3 here with good placed efforts
all of his three starts to date. You can easily write off most of this
field and he looks closely macthed to favourite Soviet Secret but is the
better value.
4.10 Market Rasen 1. Sir Frank
This is about as close to a match race as you are likely to see as you'd
really have to clutch at straws to give anything outside the top 2 a shout.
Sir Frank can be partly forgiven his defeat last time out as the
trip/track/penalty conspired against him, his rival Russian George has a
penalty for the first time today.

result 1st sir frank led, driven and headed flat,
                     rallied to regain lead towards finish 

       4th city ground tracked leaders, effort over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong

0.3pt each way double on both the above. at 11/4 and 6/4 with Totesport or
Betfred. 

Sunday 18th July 
Each Way Value:

Another disappointing day yesterday unfortunately.
No selections today.

Starting Bank 1,000

Bank end of day 72 1,305

Bank end of day 79 1,187

Points Profit/loss +7.53

Not the best of weeks lets see what happens in the last 5 days of the 84 day review 











[click here to see Winning Racing Tips...]


Regards


Danny



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Winning Racing Tips day 66 – 72

Winning Racing Tips Day 66-72

Monday 5th July 
Each Way Value:
2.15 Newton Abbot 4. Unleashed 0.5pt e/w (9/2 Betfred*/Betinternet* or 5/1
Sportingbet, 4/1 ok)
2.15 Newton Abbot 10. Tuppenny Piece 0.2pt e/w (14/1 StanJames*/Betfred*)

The strategy here is to take on the top two in the market with the 3rd and
4th in the market. Its difficult ot make a case for the remaining 5
runners. Unleashed was decent on the flat, the best of these at his peak,
and is unexposed over hurdles with just the one start. I liked the look of
that 4th place where he ran well enough and the run of the race didn't
particulary suit finding himself off the pace just at the wrong time. The
favourite here has obvious ability having won two bumpers but is untried
over hurdles. Minneapolis ran well last time in a handicap hurdle but with
only one third place to show from 5 hurdle runs I couldn't back him at 3/1.
Tuppenny Piece Improved from 1st to 2nd start over hurldes when 3rd last
time out, the distance is a concern but she is improving and her available
odds of 14/1 make her a value bet.

Result
 Unleashed , PU held up mid-division, weakened from 4 out, pulled up before 2 out

 
Tuppenny Piece 5th , tracked leader, ridden after 3 out, weakened approaching last

Tuesday 6th July

Each Way Value:
The form was turned on its head in yesterdays race and its not one to
dwell on, although in hindsight perhaps the 33/1 winner and 40/1 third are
not that surprising given they are trained by Paul Nicholls and David Pipe.

5.00 Pontefract 7. Charming Man 0.6pt e/w ONLY IF 3/1 or better. (check
liveshow)
I've had a long think about this one and I just cant recommend 11/4. The
race basically looks between the Spencer and Dettori ridden pair, with
possible improver Hidden and dark horse Lajidaal looking the only credible
threats. Charming Man made up a lot of ground over the last 4f last time
out after getting behind early on and you'd expect Dettori to do a better
job than the 7lb claimer that was on board that day. Dettori has a 50%
strike rate with the new Godolphin stable so far. Fascination is improving
too, and finished in front of the selection last time out, but that one
wasn't further in front at the finish than he was 4f out so there probably
isn't much between them and it might come down to which has improved the
most or which is given the best ride today.

Result no bet biggest price was 11/4  

Wednesday 7th July 
Each Way Value:

There are a few "nearly selections today", but I cant recommend anything.
The races coming up at the moment aren't throwing up much for us. We
haven't had a losing month in a long time and I certainly don't want to
"engineer" one by betting for the sake of it, so nothing again today.

Thursday 8th July 
Each Way Value:

As it turns out we dodged a bullet yesterday by not betting as the
possible bet was unplaced. Not betting is sometimes as important as finding
the winners. 

8.50 Doncaster 1. Bahamian Jazz 0.5pt e/w (5/1 Betinternet*, 9/2
VCBet*/Sportingbet)
This one has been a tough decision between Bahamian Jazz and Oh So Spicy.
At the prices it too risky to back both so I've down on the side of the
bigger priced runner. Bahamian Jazz didn't show a lot on his first two
starts but was then gelded and was unlucky not to win last time out. Oh So
Spicy showed good form on debut and wasn't knocked about, but there are
question marks over that form. There is only a handful of others that can
come into calculations but none of which can match the level of form the
pick showed last time out, including the favourite.

Result, hung left throughout, behind, ridden and headway into mid-division 4f out,
 kept on same pace final 2f, never on terms

Friday 9th July 
Good Afternoon   ,

I'm away this weekend therefore the next update will be Monday 19th. 

Each Way Value:
Today there is again a couple of nearly races but the value just isn't
there so I'm not recommending anything.
It is a quiet period now which obviously requires patience, and I'm aware
that me being away this weekend doesn't help matters but it is a commitment
I cant get out of. I prefer quiet periods to losing runs!

Saturday 10th July 

No Selections 

Sunday 11th July 

No Selections 

Again another quite week with only 3 bets

Day 66/72 - 2.4 points  

Starting Bank 1,000 
 
Bank end off day 65 1,365

Bank end of day 72 1,305

Points Profit/loss + 12.25
[Click here to see Winning Racing Tips...] 
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Winning Racing Tips Day 59 – 65

Winning Racing Tips Day 59 - 65

Monday 28th June 
Each Way Value:
3.30 Wolverhampton 8. Rutterkin 1pt e/w (7/2 Tote*/Bet365*/Boylesports*)
Rutterkin is clear 2nd best here on paper. Toolain clearly has ability but
also may not be straightforward having unshipped Dettori last time out when
veering left under the whip. The winner that day is also from the new
Godolphin stable so you'd have to assume that they have a decent form line
through that one with Rutterkin. Outside the favourite and Rutterkin it is
almost impossible to make a case for anything else. It'd take a massive
improvement from one of the others or something special from one the
newcomers to cause an upset here and Rutterkins place chances are summed up
by Paddypower's 1/7 to be placed price. We're no getting 1/7 but a shade
short of 8/11 with the place part of the each way bet which demonstrates
what good value this each way bet is. Rutterkin has improved both starts,
the new Godolphin trainer had his first winner at Doncaster for us on
Saturday, there is every chance he could get his first winner at
Wolverhampton here, if not, it is very hard to see him outside the placings
in this. 

Result 3rd, led, ridden and headed approaching final furlong,
 no extra inside final furlong 

Tuesday 29th June

Each Way Value:
A couple of races of mild interest but nothing nearly strong enough today
- no bet.

Wednesday 30th june

Each Way Value:
2.40 Worcester 1. Downward Spiral 0.3pt e/w (11/2 Betinternet*, 5/1
Bet365*/WillHill*)
AND 2. Knar Mardy 0.3pt e/w (15/2 VCBet*/Betinternet*, 7/1
Ladbrokes*/Bet365* )
Interesting 3 mile Novices Hurdle here. Chesapeake is the odds on
favourite with solid placed form to his name, but is a maiden after 15
starts, and may be over-bet with McCoy on board. I'm happy to take that on
in this race particularly as there are two horses that won over hurdles
last time out, Knar Mardy seeking her hat-trick. It can be narrowed down to
the top 5 in the betting, with the remainder quite unlikely to even place.
Of of the 5, Marblehead and Triggernometry are dangers but have not shown
form of late and been racing in different spheres. Downward Spiral and Knar
Mardy are both penalised, but Downward Spiral won last time out over the
distance and has a progressive profile. Whilst Knar Mardy has improved a
vast amount in her last three starts, and although she hasn't beaten much,
she has won in effortless style the last twice, may be better for the extra
2f, and looks one to stay on the right side of.

Result  2nd Downward Spiral,led, ridden after 3 out, headed when mistake last,
            no chance with winner
        9th Knar Mardy towards rear, ridden and headway after 7th, not fluent 9th,
            soon weakened, tailed off

Thursday 1st July

Each Way Value:
No selections today.

Friday 2nd July 
Each Way Value:
No selections today.

Saturday 3rd July 
Each Way Value:
No selections today.
We often get quiet spells at this time of year, so the current situation
is nothing new, just a case of waiting for the right opportunities.

Sunday 4th July 
I am out tomorrow morning therefore the next message will be Monday.
Only 3 bets this week :-(

Day 59-65 - 0.9 points 

Starting Bank 1,000

Bank End off day 58 1,388

Bank end off day 65 1,3650

Points Profit/Loss + 14.65

Regards 

Danny

[Click here to see Winning Racing Tips...] 

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Winning Racing Tips Day 52-58

Winning Racing Tips Day 52-58

Hi Constables here is the update for Winning Racing Tips

Starting Bank  1,000

Current Bank up to and including Day 51  1,317

Cumulative Profit/Loss +12.68



Monday 21st june

 Each Way Value:


3.00 Wolverhampton 2. Eastern Magic 0.25pt e/w (10/1 Bet365*/Tote*/Paddy*) 2star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58

This isn;t a race to get too excited about but there is definate each way value to be had in taking on this favourite

that has been a beaten fav twice already and has been off the track a while.Lots can be ruled out of this and of the few with chances,

I like the look of Eastern Magic the most.

He was slowly away on debut three weeks ago but didn’t concede a lot of ground in the end in 4th with two decent horses just in front.

If improving form that and comping with the surface he’d have to have a decent chance here.


Result 6th

chased leader until over 2f out, weakened well over 1f out

-0.5 points


Tuesday 22nd June

No selections today.


Wednesday 23rd June


Each Way Value:
2.10 Salisbury 8. Perfect Pastime 0.4pt e/w (17/2 Betinternet* or 8/1
Skybet, 7/1 with Ladbrokes* is Ok)
This is a 14 runner Maiden, a few more runners than ideal. But most dont
look any great shakes on paper and the form at the top end of the market
looks decent. With that said, I'm happy to only consider 5 that have
chances here. Cape Rambler is from a yard that have rolled out a couple of
2yo debutant winners recently and is worth a couple of quid at 38+ on
Betfair, just in case this is another one, but isn't each way material as
there is very little to go on. On the balance of probability this is likely
to be fought out between the horses with experience and form. St Oswald,
Fight The Chance and Perfect Pastime all showed promise on debut and I'd
rate them all with similar chances. But slight preference is for Perfect
Pastime who is also the bigest price of the three. He was 2nd of 14 on
debut over 6f and didn't actually get a totally clear run. 

2.20 Worcester 3. Dormouse 0.4pt e/w (8/1 Betinternet* or 7/1
Bet365*/Paddypower*) NOTE 8 RUNNERS
This is an 8 runner Novice Hurdle where the top 3 look the only ones with
chances. The other 5 have shown nothing at all and a drastic improvement or
a poor show from one of the favourites would be required for any of them to
get a sniff of a place. Admiral Dundas was OK onm the flat but that form
doesn't always translate to NH racing straight away and I dont like the
4/1. Therefore Dormouse looks the each way value here. His bumper forn
reads well in this comapny, and although he would need to be on song on his
first start over hurdles returning from a long break he looks to have been
found an easy race to at least be competitive in.

Perfect Pasttime Result 5th
took keen hold, led over 1f, chased leader until 2f out,
 weakened inside final furlong 

Dormouse result 6th
chased leaders, ridden before 3 out, weakened 

-1.6 Points 

Thursday 24th June

Nothing today. 

Friday 25th June
 Each Way Value:
 2.20 Doncaster 7. Royal Liaison 0.7pt e/w (4/1 Ladbrokes*/Paddypower*/StanJames*) 2star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58

 Betting in 2yo races can undo your best plans,
 especially when there are multiple newcomers from stables that can ready one first time out.
 However Royal Liason has the best form on offer and experience counts a lot in these races.
 She raced relatively green last time but still managed a close 2nd.
 So with likely improvement I find it hard to justify odds as big as 4/1
 and she is each way value in a race where surely most will need the race.
 Out of a total of 15 2yo races this year Michael Bell has got 11 1st, 2nd or 3rd places.

result 3rd

 with leaders, led over 3f out, headed well over 1f out, kept on same pace
- 0.14 Points

Saturday 26th June

Each Way Value:
 4.15 Newcastle 3. King Of Aquitaine 0.4pt e/w ONLY at 5/1 OR BETTER.
 This is a horse with decent progressive form in a maiden with few other challengers, a typical selection for us.
 Unfortunately I started looking at this one when it was 13/2 and its since been tipped by Hugh Taylor and basically hammered.
 By the time you get this you'd be lucky to get 9/2 and I cant recommend it at those odds.
 I feel like we've had a selection stolen from us here but its my own fault really for not being quicker.
 I think the value has gone at this point but if you can get 5/1 in the live show then its a 0.4pt e/w selection. 

 6.40 Doncaster 2. Belgian Bill  0.6pt e/w (7/2 Lads*/Corals*/StanJames*) 2star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58
 Only a few to consider here, and on paper at least, only one newcomer to worry about.
 Belgian Bill has the benefit of experience though and showed ability after racing green early on debut,
 once the penny dropped.
 My Single Malt didn't seem to know what was required on debut and may have a lot of improvement,
 but on what we've seen,
 I'd prefer to be with Belgian Bill.
 He would only have to beat 2 out of the expected 5 that have any chance to place,
 and looks likely to win a race at some point,
 however this bet is tinged with some caution as three of these have fancy entries and must be highly regarded. 

 7.55 Lingfield 3. Blitzed 0.6pt e/w (5/1 Bet365*/Lads*/VCBet*)3star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58
 Blitzed is against a hot pot favourite here,
 but he is the only one with form over the distance and one of only four to have shown any promise at all.
 Indeed its very difficult to make a case for any of those outside the top 4 in the betting.
 Baralaka and Budding Daffodil are both dangers with reasons to think they'll do better than what they've achieved so far,
 not least Sir Mark Precott's outstanding current form, however Blitzed has shown more on the track,
 should be fit having raced recently and can come on for that run with it being his first of the year. 

 8.50 Doncaster 8. Miss Jean Brodie 0.25pt e/w (10/1 StanJames*/Betfred*/VCBet*) 2star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58
 This race is a little more competitive but there are reasons to believe 10/1 is value on this one.
 Miss Jean Brodie run a strange race on debut over this distance on the AW, she was out the back,
 didn't take the corners well at all,
 but ended up running a much longer course wide around the field to produce a storming run down the home straight to take 3rd.
 I think its safe to say she is better that the 10l that she was beaten that day.
 She has a more experienced jockey on baord today, she is the only Goldolphin runner making the long trip to Doncaster,
 and looks sure to improve.
 From the Godolhin site:
 "encouraging 10 lengths third of 13 to Mirror Lake in maiden at Kempton, headway not unduly knocked about: will improve. "

 King Of Aquitaine Result 1st, but never saw the price go to 5/1 so there for no bet
 Belgian Bil Result 1st, tracked leaders, challenged on outside over 2f out, led over 1f out,
 ridden and edged right inside final furlong,
 Blitzed Result 2nd, held up mid-division, headway over 3f out,
 ridden and chased winner over 1f out, stayed on towards finish
 Miss Jean Brodie Result 1st,mid-division on outside, headway 4f out,
 led narrowly 3f out, ridden over 1f out, stayed on well final 75 yards 

+5.52 Points

Sunday 27th June 

 Each Way Value:
 2.10 Uttoxeter 4. Douglas 0.2pt e/w (20/1  Bet365*/StanJames* - Lads/Corals/Hills yet to price) 2star Winning Racing Tips Day 52 58
 I could of course be  off the mark here, but Douglas looks way  too big at 20/1 in this.
 He might not have showed anything in bumpers,
 but he has improved since going over hurdles.
 Only finding one too good  on debut over course and distance 10l behind a 119 rated horse.
 He was  then a 29 length 4th over course and distance last month,
 but that  result doesn't tell the whole story as he made a shocking error 2 out  and lost all momentum.
 Without that error its likely he'd have finished  placed, close to the 112 rated winner and 118 rated runner up.
 Both of  those horses are higher rated than anything in this race and with that  in mind I think Douglas looks value at 20/1.
 At the time of writing  there is a little bit at 5.2 in the place market on Betfair,
 I'd suggest  anything above 5.0 is well worth taking as a side bet.

Douglas Result 11th, prominent, hit 3rd, ridden before 9th, weakened 3 out

-0.4 Points 

Starting Bank  1,000

Bank up to and including Day 51  1,317

Current bank up to and including Day 58 1,388.75

 Cumulative Profit/Loss +15.55

A few more bets this week and we were unlucky where the author found a winner,
 but the price was hammered in before it got to us so it never qualified as a bet,
 so a small profit on the week is better than none at all 

Until next time 

Regards 

Sgt Danny 

 



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