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TFT Gold Silver and LTD – Final Review

TotalFootballTrading TFT Gold, Silver and LTD   Final Review

31/01/2012

Sgt Magnifique reviews TFT Gold Silver and LTD

Rating 3 stars3 TFT Gold, Silver and LTD   Final Review

12 weeks of the trial are gone and it’s time to see what we’ve got at the end.

Profitability:

Two of the strategies (Golden Goal and Silver Goal) turned a profit, and one (LTD) showed a loss. The final figures are:

Gold  +94.5 pts (to 30 pts stakes) in 30 matches
Silver  +148 pts (to 30 pts liability (20 pts stakes)) in 41 matches
LTD  -23.45 pts (to 30 pts stakes) in 18 matches

P/L on all three: +219.05

As you see, the profit figures are nowhere near big. Looking at a number of matches, you might want to ask if it’s worth at all, and this would be a good question. The results are suggesting:

Gold  +3.15 pts per match (10.5% of the initial stake)
Silver  +3.6 pts per match (8.8% of the initial stake)
LTD  -1.3 pts per match (-7.22% of the initial stake)

Not bad actually for the first two, but bear in mind that both are betting rather than trading. If they were trading systems, the results would be looking a lot better.

Another issue I have is that I feel a longer distance is needed. 20-30 matches is clearly not enough to judge how well a system performs. This is especially related to LTD.

2 out of 5

Ease of use:

Pretty straightforward rules, haven’t encountered any difficulty following them. However, match selection is very subjective at times and unfortunately this is 80% of what determines your results, even though the manual gives good guidelines. LTD possesses the least subjectivity, Golden Goal goes after it and Silver Goal seemed the most subjective.

4 out of 5

Risk:

None of the three banks had a danger of suffering substantial losses. The advice to use 3% per bet/trade makes it quite safe to use the strategies. The only way to lose a lot is to be bad or unlucky at match selection.

3 out of 5

Return on investment (ROI):

Gold  10.5%
Silver  14.35%
LTD  -4.35%

Since the odds you make your lays at are low, the figures look ok, but not really impressive.

3 out of 5

Support and documentation:

Manuals contain clear descriptions of what, when and why you should do, but there’s a problem common to a lot of football betting/trading manuals – selections of matches depends on you a great deal. I feel the guidelines on this could be more exact.

Can’t say anything of support as I didn’t need it during the trial.

3 out of 5

Time needed to apply the system:

Although you bet during 2nd half only or at half-time you need to monitor games for potential qualifiers. With some of those strategies you also need to watch the translation of the 2nd half. Unfortunately, you can’t pick your potential selections beforehand – the opportunities may appear or may not appear in a game. It’s not as time-consuming as some other football strategies, but not a minute work either.

2 out of 5

All in all, the strategies are not bad, but I would recommend using them as a part of a little systems portfolio. This way they are worth a go, otherwise probably not – too much time and effort for modest returns. Besides, I think they need to be modified. The LTD strategy, the most straightforward of all (the one that I followed letter to letter), gave the worst result, while Silver Goal, the most subjective one, showed the best. I guess, is the reason behind it is match selection. A person with different view could have picked different games. This could be eliminated by a number of new strict rules, but it is as it is for now.

Please, bear it in mind if you want to try out the strategies. Overall I give TFT Gold Silver and LTD 3 stars out of 5.

[Click here to see the Total Football Trading sales page...]

Cheers,

Sgt Magnifique reviewing TFT Gold Silver and LTD

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Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars

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Total Football Trading The Underdog – Final Review

TotalFootballTrading TFT The Underdog   Final Review

23rd January 2012

Review Manager Rich Reviews Total Football Trading The Underdog

Rating 3.5 stars TFT The Underdog   Final Review

Total Football Trading The Underdog, over a 12 week period, has achieved the following:

Profits take into account 5% Betfair commission.

I have done 28 trades, 18 have made a profit, 10 have made a loss.

Starting Bank £1,000

Review period total P/L +£93.65

Running Bank £1,093.65

This is a 9.3% profit, which is reasonable. The main downside is that trading opportunities are few and far between. It has averaged at just over 2 trades per week, although I have missed some Saturday afternoons. This however is not too bad because the Underdog system comes with nine other systems, so I expect you would monitor for underdog opportunities along with other trading opportunities.

To run Total Football Trading The Underdog, you need to monitor matches live in-play for the first half of matches.

During the review the basic stakes were a lay of £25 at maximum odds of 3.50, so the max amount of the starting bank needed for each lay was £62.50. There is a trade out point for either when the trade is making a profit or when it is making a loss. The max loss was -£50.25 with some other losses of  approx -£30 or -£20. The average loss was -£17.78. I was surprised that there were as many as 10 losing trades out of 28, but thanks to the relatively low loss amounts, the losses were quickly recovered by the profitable trades.

The max profit after 5% Betfair commission was £18.30 with the average profit being £15.08.

As you can see the average profit is not far behind the average loss. Therefore, with 64.3% of the trades making a profit, this explains why we made a profit overall.

Ratings:

Profitability: Liquidity needed for each bet was £62.50 – total profit was £93.65 – pretty good! 4 stars

Ease of use: Very easy 4 stars

Risk: surprisingly low 4 stars

Return on liability: Over 28 races the total liability was £497.84. £93.65 profit represents a ROL of 19% 3 stars

Support & documentation: The manual is clear, thorough and easy. Tech support wasn’t needed 4 stars

Time needed: A lot of matches watched compared to the number of trades obtained 1 star

Overall I give this a 3.5 star rating.

Rating 3.5 stars TFT The Underdog   Final Review

[Click here to see the Total Football Trading sales page...]

Review Manager Rich – Total Football Trading The Underdog

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Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars

0

Total Football Trading The Paper Chaser – Final Review Summary

TotalFootballTrading TFT The Paper Chaser    Final Review Summary

23/01/2012

Sgt Colin Reviews Total Football Trading The Paper Chaser

Rating 3.5 stars TFT The Paper Chaser    Final Review Summary

Hi Bloggers, Inspector Colin here, with the final review of Total Football Trading The Paper Chaser

Total Football Trading The Paper Chaser is one of the trading strategies included in the Total Football Trading package. This is a pre kick off football match trading strategy, which requires a professional, disciplined approach, utilising a stop loss strategy. It only works in respect of evening games, so is only applicable for mid-week football.

So how did it do – and how did I find the system to use?

1. Results:

These were very good! After a dodgy start, when I was getting used to the trading approach, the trading methodology gave me consistent gains.

After 3 days I’d made 3 trades (with an initial 100 point liability on each), and lost 9 points (from my starting bank of 1000). That was the low point as I tasted some relatively early success, and ended 123.45 points up at the end of the trial (after charging 5% Betfair commission) from 85 trades.

I only had 11 losing days out of the 36 days I traded on,

I had 48 winning trades (with 9 closing out at break-even) – a success rate of 58%

The best trade made 13.69 points, the worst (day 2) lost 6.86 points.

I found that I was similarly successful with both back & lay initial trades, and uncannily placed almost identical numbers of each type (43 back bets, 42 lay bets, gaining 57 & 63 points respectively). The most successful trades were where I initially backed teams at between evens & 5/4, or where I initially layed teams at between 1.3 & 1.5. However, the sample sizes were small, and these results are therefore not statistically that meaningful.

Bank start point:   1000
Gain                        123.45
Final bank             1123.45

2. Ease of Use

2.1 Time involved

This is the downside of the approach, in that to use this system effectively, you need to have regular access to Betfair from early in the morning until kick off time in the evening. If you can’t access Betfair regularly in the morning, this isn’t a system for you! You need to be disciplined in ensuring that you don’t trade when you can’t be sure you can monitor the odds movements (unless you have access to a bot to apply a stop loss if the odds move against you). Unless you are working from home, that makes it difficult for most people, although you can access Betfair via a smartphone.

You also have plenty of days when there aren’t many matches to select from, and you have to make sure you don’t “force” selections because you haven’t had a bet for a couple of days.

2.2. Stop Loss

As highlighted above, the approach includes applying a stop loss to the trades. The manual provides a recommended stop loss of 6 “ticks” per trade, but I found that that was too simplistic and would have resulted in significantly different risks being taken depending upon the odds. I devised my own table to identify the stop loss – which still ended up exposing me to varying risks (laying short priced favourites could be costly) but was an improvement on the single target.

I tried to use the GHB bot to automatically apply the stop loss. I initially had problems with that, and although it ended up working, I found that I could usually apply the stop loss manually effectively through regular monitoring.

2.3 Enjoyment

I enjoyed using this system, albeit I was trading to very small stakes and therefore taking minimal risks (just to test out the approach).

3. Risk

The rigorous use of a stop loss reduces the risk considerably. I ended up reporting the Return on Investment not in respect of the initial liability (which started out at 100 points) but as a percent of the risk being taken on the trade if the stop loss was applied.

Here is one of the examples:
10th January. Real Madrid @ Malaga (Spanish Cup). Initially laid Real at odds of 1.46. For a liability of 100 points, the potential gain was 217.4 points (pre commission). The stop loss applied was to close out if the odds fell to 1.42. This would require 223.52 to be invested to close out at a loss of 6.12 points irrespective of the result. The “investment” wasn’t really 100  points, but was only 6.12 points. This trade made 1.4 points (closing out at odds of 1.47) – therefore returned 22.9% on the risk investment.

Overall, the trades made an ROI on this methodology of 38.9%. However, taking into account the amount of abortive time, it must be made clear that in order to make a decent profit, the initial betting bank (and stake) has to be pretty large. Using £100 liabilities per trade would have made £124 over 85 trades and 36 days of trading. That is only £3.40 per day! However, the overall risk taken on all the trades was only £316. In order to ratchet up the profits to a sensible level, each trade would have to be at least £300, which would at times have required a bank of £1500 (although the true risk would have been only around £60). This is not a method to employ if you have a limited betting bank.
4. Support
There wasn’t a great deal of support required, although when I intially made a loss on a trade which many of their members made a profit on the vendors contacted me to ensure that I understood the system, and made some additional suggestions (such as limiting the maximum odds levels).

[Click here to see the Total Football Trading sales page...]

Sgt Colin – Total Football Trading The Paper Chaser

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Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars