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October 18, 2012

Betting Speed Evolution – Day 20 To 24

2

Betting Speed Evolution – Day 20 To 24

18th October 2012

Sergeant Lucian - Review of Betting Speed Evolution

Hi Bloggers,

Here we are on 24 day of reviewing Betting Speed Evolution from Michael Wilding.

As you all know from intro I’ll use four banks but first 3 will count on final decision. The last bank is added for place market only and will not count on final review.

Odd rule is simple max 10 for back and lay and max 3.3 for place. I’ll use BSP and for who chose to use GHB I think the settings which will get a price close to BSP are time to start (TTS) setting  33 seconds, max odds for both back and lay 10 and widen odds to 0.

So here we are – results after day 24- No Bet on 11th October (ISP Problems):

Day Time Race Selection Bet Win Odd Place Odd W / P / L Bank Back Bank Lay Bank B/L Bank PL
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
10.10.12 14:40 Ludl Double Silver L 3.35 W 73.13 98.95 82.09 133.67
10.10.12 14:40 Ludl Danvilla L 5.50 W 73.13 99.42 82.87 133.67
10.10.12 15:10 Ludl Im The Decider L 7.87 W 73.13 99.89 83.66 133.67
10.10.12 16:00 Nott Oddysey B 4.90 1.63 P 71.67 99.89 82.82 135.27
10.10.12 17:35 Navan To The Sky L 6.60 W 71.67 100.36 83.61 135.27
10.10.12 18:30 Kemp Secret Art B 2.18 1.17 P 70.24 100.36 82.77 135.71
10.10.12 18:30 Kemp Living The Life B 3.21 1.30 W 73.19 100.36 84.51 136.48
10.10.12 19:30 Kemp Alraased L 3.75 L 73.19 98.98 82.18 136.48
10.10.12 20:00 Kemp Tamarkuz L 2.56 L 73.19 98.21 80.90 136.48
12.10.12 14:00 York Polski Max B 6.88 2.35 W 81.37 98.21 85.42 139.98
12.10.12 14:00 York Smoothtalkinrascal L 8.00 W 81.37 98.68 86.23 139.98
12.10.12 14:40 Bath Gladiatrix L 2.74 L 81.37 97.82 84.73 139.98
12.10.12 17:40 Wolv Mumeyez B 5.37 1.73 P 79.74 97.82 83.88 141.92
12.10.12 18:45 Wolv Admiralty L 6.14 L 79.74 95.31 79.57 141.92
12.10.12 19:00 Dund Spirituality B 5.01 1.88 W 85.82 95.31 82.60 144.29
12.10.12 19:15 Wolv Well Deal Again L 6.00 W 85.82 95.76 83.39 144.29
12.10.12 20:00 Dund Coach Bombay B 7.00 2.82 P 84.10 95.76 82.55 149.28
12.10.12 21:15 Wolv Tiradito L 4.64 W 84.10 96.21 83.34 149.28
13.10.12 15:15 Fairy Oscar Hill B 6.13 2.23 L 82.42 96.21 82.51 146.29
13.10.12 15:55 Hex Stormion B 5.40 2.61 W 89.31 96.21 85.95 150.77
13.10.12 16:05 Newm Nargys L 6.53 W 89.31 96.67 86.77 150.77
13.10.12 19:15 Wolv Goal L 6.00 W 89.31 97.13 87.60 150.77
13.10.12 19:15 Wolv Kathleensluckylad L 5.56 L 89.31 94.91 83.60 150.77
13.10.12 19:45 Wolv Jumeirah Moon B 8.60 2.73 L 87.52 94.91 82.76 147.75
13.10.12 20:15 Wolv This Is Nice B 5.21 1.88 L 85.77 94.91 81.94 144.80
13.10.12 21:15 Wolv Norfolk Sky B 3.24 1.52 P 84.06 94.91 81.12 146.23
13.10.12 21:15 Wolv Cape Rainbow B 9.65 2.90 L 82.38 94.91 80.31 143.31
14.10.12 15:45 Good Prodigality L 2.97 L 82.38 93.98 78.72 143.31
14.10.12 15:50 Lim Ordinary Man L 4.34 W 82.28 94.42 79.47 143.31
14.10.12 16:05 Curr Minsk B 4.49 2.02 P 80.63 94.42 78.68 146.09
14.10.12 16:25 Lim Four Commanders B 10.00 2.88 L 79.02 94.42 77.89 143.17
14.10.12 17:00 Lim Rathlin L 6.00 W 79.02 94.87 78.63 143.17
14.10.12 17:25 Good Dolphin Rock L 6.35 W 79.02 95.32 79.38 143.17
15.10.12 15:25 Salis See The Storm L 6.58 W 79.02 95.77 80.13 143.17

Bank 1 – Back Selections 2% of bankroll stake

Start Balance: 100 points

P/L: +5.89 pts

Running Balance: 79.02 points

Bank 2 – Lay Selections 0.5% of bankroll stake

Start Balance: 100 points

P/L: -2.71 pts

Running Balance: 95.77 points

Bank 3 – Back and Lay Selections 1% of bankroll stake

Start Balance: 100 points

P/L: -1.18 pts

Running Balance: 80.13 points

Bank 4 – Place from Back Selections 2% of bankroll stake

Start Balance: 100 points

P/L: +9.50 pts

Running Balance: 143.17 points

Thank you for your time and I hope you enjoy the review.

[Click here to see BETTING SPEED EVOLUTION]

Regards,

Sgt Lucian – Review of Betting Speed Evolution

98.67
97.69
98.61
102.64
101.62
100.81
99.80
100.75
101.70
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Written by lucianfen on Oct 18th, 2012. Comment. #

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  • lucianfen says:
    October 20, 2012 at 7:35 pm

    Hi Liam,

    GHB not support check one market and bet in another. Try only place with max odd 3.3 with 33 TTS and if if you want to max your profit use staking with value 1 and max odd in your bank conditions. This is an advice please test with low stakes.
    If in win market the odd is over 10 and place is under 3.3 this mean that the crowd expectation is the horse to place.

    Hope that will help you,
    Cheers,
    Lucian

  • Liam says:
    October 19, 2012 at 11:31 pm

    Hi. I am fairly new to Betfair. With regards Bank 4, is there a way of making the bets in the morning, setting the maximum place odds of 3.3, but also with the requirement that the win odds are at a maximum of 10? Or do you have to be around at the time of the race? Thanks

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