The Specialist

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The Specialist Final Review

 

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Hi Bloggers

     Well after 56 days of reviewing The Specialist, just one area was making a very small profit so I decided to monitor results for another week now I can say that the decision to fail this system/service is justified. The results of the last week if taken into consideration would have meant that the area that was making a little profit is now running at minus 10 points and another 22 points would have been deducted from the Exotic bets.

     For the first eight days of the review The Specialist was showing an overall profit of just over 17 points this was thanks to the Back All Selections, by the end of the review it was showing a loss of 30.86 points these are at BFSP, and if you add the Exotic Bets to this, that figure would have been minus 46.79 points. Now if you took results at ISP things would have been worse showing for all 3 staking systems a loss of 78.60 points, and if you take in the price of 149 pounds that SWP is asking for this system you  can see why this is a clear failure. So how do the figures compare with the sales page showing last years results the answer is they don’t lets have a look below:

    Backing all system selections (2009)
1539 bets producing 392 winners 25% strike rate
Over 380 points to industry SP and over 920 BFSP           

 Backing all system selections

BST Review Period March 27th to May 22nd 2010 

331 bets producing 67 winners 20.24% strike rate
minus 62.76 points to industry SP and minus 30.05 BFSP

Not pretty is it in addition to this the sales page showed Exotic Bets making an additional 298 points, what did the review manage minus 15.93 points for CSF and Exacta was a lot worse with a minus 35.90 points. Now I had high hopes of the Being Selective part, I calculated that it had a 44.54% strike rate last year, how did I do 24.81% now that’s a very big difference so I am very disappointed with this particular section.

Now for last year’s results of Being Selective this is using the 1 and 2 point staking plan:

450 points profit ISP and over 600 points to BFSP from just 483 bets

Review figure:

 Minus 11.77 points to ISP and 4.12 points profit to BFSP from 133 bets.

Now to get that figure of plus 4.12 points profit you would have had to stake 200 points this gives you an ROI of 2.06 % you might as well stick the money in the bank.

In conclusion the system relies heavily on getting some long priced winners when they do not occur it struggles. You are expected at times to back 5 or 6 selections in the same race and one of these is a short priced favourite, and for most of my review the low odds won what chance does it has of making any money?, it is just hoping that the outsiders will win. So this is just another SWP product that does not live up to all the hype, maybe it will hit some big odds winners in the forthcoming months but do you want take that chance that it might be lucky, I know I don’t and certainly not at the price of the product. So yet another one for the Jailed and Failed section, open the cell door!


Regards

Sgt Dave



Written by on . Comment#

Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars

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The Specialist 

 Day 56  May 22nd

Hi Bloggers

A hectic day with 17 selections, 7 x Back All and 10 Being Selective (3 x 1 pt, 7 x 2 pts), the result was 3  winners, 1 Back All and 2 Being Selective at 1 point each on top of this we had 3 x R/F (Exotic) which lost ,the final total ended with a minus on the day. this is the end of the 56 day trial, my P/L seems to be alot lower than advertised on the members page, also R/F’s were sometimetimes mentioned and sometimes not, i followed the system rules on this one if you have between 2 to 4 Being Selective selections in the same race you cover them in forecasts. All in all a very disappointing trial especially the Being Selective part, this system like 1000 Point one  i reviewed a while ago,  require big priced winners to make its profit and when they do not appear they suffer. I have alot of number crunching to do with this one especially given the large amount of selections,  i shall post the Final Review as soon as i can.

Back All 7 Selections/ 1 winner at 4.50 BFSP/4.33

Being Selective 10 Selection(3 x 1pt, 2 x 3 pts)/2 Winner(1pt) 3.82, 12.13 BFSP/ 4.00, 11.00 ISP                                                                                                       

Exotic Bets  3 x R/F/Lost

Back All Selections (ISP)

     P/L on the Day = minus 2.67 points 

     Running Bank after Day 56 =  49.10 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Back All Selections (BFSP) 

     P/L on the Day = minus 2.68 points 

    Running Bank after Day 56 = 65.02 points (100 points Starting Bank)


     Being Selective (ISP)

     P/L on the Day = minus 2.00 points

      Running Bank after Day 56 = 88.23 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Being Selective (BFSP)

       P/L on the Day = minus 1.75 points

     Running Bank after Day 56 = 104.12 points (100 points Starting Bank)

    Exotic Bets (Forecasts):

     P/L on the Day = minus 6 points

     Running Bank after Day 56 (CSF) = 84.07 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Running Bank after Day 56  (Exacta) = 64.10 points (100 points Starting Bank)

                                   

                                        Best Regards

                                           Sgt Dave


 [ Click here for The Specialist....]

Written by on . Comment#

Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars

0

The Specialist 

 Day 55  May 21st

Hi Bloggers

5 selections only today, 2 x Back All and 3 Being Selective (1 x 1 pt, 2 x 2pt), there was also a R/F bet, all the system was able to manage today was one 2 pt Being Selective winner at 1.99 BFSP/1.91 ISP, so at the end of the day there was a total loss of just over 5 points whether you backed to BFSP or ISP.

Back All 2 Selections/ No winners

Being Selective 3 Selection(1 x 1pt, 2 x 2 pt)/ 1 Winner(2pt) at 1.99/1.91 ISP

Exotic Bets  1x R/F/Lost

Back All Selections (ISP)

     P/L on the Day = minus 2.00 points 

     Running Bank after Day 55 =  51.77 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Back All Selections (BFSP) 

     P/L on the Day = minus 2.00 points 

    Running Bank after Day 55 = 67.70 points (100 points Starting Bank)


     Being Selective (ISP)

     P/L on the Day = minus 1.18 points

      Running Bank after Day 55 = 90.23 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Being Selective (BFSP)

       P/L on the Day = minus 1.12 points

     Running Bank after Day 55 = 105.87 points (100 points Starting Bank)

    Exotic Bets (Forecasts):

     P/L on the Day = minus 2 points

     Running Bank after Day 55 (CSF) = 90.07 points (100 points Starting Bank)

     Running Bank after Day 55  (Exacta) = 70.10 points (100 points Starting Bank)

                                   

                                        Best Regards

                                           Sgt Dave


 [ Click here for The Specialist....]

Written by on . Comment#

Passed 5/5 Stars

Passed 4.5/5 Stars