Three Key Football Week 5


Three Key Football Week 5

24th – 30th March 2014


Sgt Jon Reviews Three Key Football

What a great week with four winning bets from seven selections which included the first double as well. The staking plans B and C showed their strength adding 12.49 points to Plan B and a massive 24.47 points to Plan C which has now almost doubled that starting bank in just five weeks!

All bets this week were placed with matches on the recommended stats site.

Bet 18 – Tuesday 25th March

Selections: Burnley (W), Wolves (W), Chesterfield (W)

Winning Treble        Bookmaker: Betway    Price: 3.16

Plan A                Opening Bank    62.75 points  
                           Closing Bank     64.91 points                  + 2.16 points

Plan B                Opening Bank    69.17 points               
                           Closing Bank     71.33 points                   + 2.16 points

Plan C                Opening Bank    72.01 points  
                           Closing Bank     75.90 points                  + 3.89 points

Bet 19 – Wednesday 26th March

Selections:  Basel (W), Tomsk (Russia) (D), Kaiserslautern (D)

Losing Treble        Bookmaker: Stan James  Price: 3.45

 Plan A                Opening Bank   64.91 points
                            Closing Bank    63.91 points              

Plan B                Opening Bank    71.33 points
                           Closing Bank     70.33 points             

Plan C                 Opening Bank   75.90 points
                           Closing Bank     74.00 points             

Bet 20 – Thursday 27th March

Selections:  CSKA Moscow (D), Real Sociedad (W), Inter Milan (D)

Losing Treble        Bookmaker: Will Hill   Price: 3.46

 Plan A                Opening Bank   63.91 points
                             Closing Bank   62.91 points             

Plan B                Opening Bank    70.33 points
                           Closing Bank     68.83 points             

Plan C                 Opening Bank   74.00 points
                           Closing Bank     71.15 points             

Bet 21 – Friday 28th March

Selections:  Palmeiras (Brazil) (W), Schalke (W), Club Brugge (W) 

Winning Treble        Bookmaker: Bet Victor  Price: 4.11

 Plan A                Opening Bank   62.91 points
                             Closing Bank   66.02 points                   + 3.11 points       

Plan B                Opening Bank    68.83 points
                           Closing Bank     75.83 points                   + 7.00 points     

Plan C                 Opening Bank   71.15 points
                           Closing Bank     84.46 points                  + 13.31 points

Bet 22 – Saturday 29th March                                    

Selections: Rapid Vienna (W), Benfica 2 (Portugal 2) (W)

Winning Double        Bookmaker: Bet Victor  Price: 3.24

 Plan A                Opening Bank   66.02 points
                             Closing Bank   68.26 points                       + 2.24 points               

Plan B                Opening Bank    75.83 points
                           Closing Bank     78.07 points                        + 2.24 points                

Plan C                 Opening Bank   84.46 points
                           Closing Bank     88.94 points                        + 4.48 points 

Bet 23 – Saturday 29th March

Selections:  Millonarios (Columbia) (W), Cruz Azul (Mexico) (L), Newells Old Boys (Argentina) (D)

Losing Treble        Bookmaker: Will Hill  Price: 3.51

 Plan A                Opening Bank   68.26 points
                             Closing Bank   67.26 points                

Plan B                Opening Bank    78.07 points
                           Closing Bank     77.07 points                  

Plan C                 Opening Bank   88.94 points
                           Closing Bank     86.84 points  

Bet 24 – Sunday 30th March

Selections:  Levadiakos (Greece) (W), Liverpool (W), Lanus (Argentina) (W) 

Winning Treble        Bookmaker: Bet Victor  Price: 4.06

 Plan A                Opening Bank   67.26 points
                             Closing Bank   70.32 points            + 3.06 points    

Plan B                Opening Bank    77.07 points
                           Closing Bank     81.66 points           + 4.59 points        

Plan C                 Opening Bank   86.84 points
                           Closing Bank     96.48 points           + 9.64 points


Strike Rate to date 12/24 = 50%    

Next review update will be on Sunday 6th April

Thank you for your time and I hope you enjoy the review.

[Click here to see Three Key Football]


Sgt Jon Reviews Three Key Football

Written by on . Comment#

Passed 4.5/5 Stars

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  • Sgt Jon Sgt Jon says:

    Hi Fraser

    It’s not for me to defend Three Key Football’s strategy but my experience in conducting this review has been positive so far. I agree it would make life a lot easier if this was a system where we all make identical selections and as I’ve said in other comments, the recommended stats site does not always rate every match being played so you are sometimes limited to those matches that have been rated. Luck plays a part in any betting activity and all a system or strategy can be expected to do is to reduce that element of luck to improve your chance of winning. I do think the price rules and staking plans play a large part in the strategy’s success, especially Plan C, where we only require one winning bet in every three to make a consistent profit.

    Maybe BST management can ask Steve Davidson if a selection subscription service can be made available?


  • fraser says:

    When I purchased this some time ago I gave it a whirl and spent a long time researching teams etc. before selections. All I ever got was losing selections. I wrote to Steve Davidson and asked if he could request the author provide a selection service that you subscribe to. No response was provided. Too much ambiguity and thus luck plays a part in this methodology.

  • Sgt Jon Sgt Jon says:

    Hi Pete
    At first I thought your reply about “money for old rope” referred to the review results so far! To some extent you make a fair point but the stats site does throw up matches that I, and perhaps others, would not normally consider so I think there is value there. Also, whilst you can of course use any staking plan, I have to say I had never thought of using Plan C which is easily outperforming plans A and B at the moment so I would say that provides value as well especially for a novice bettor.

    So far as my selections are concerned I always look at the top rated matches to see if they fit the price rules but, as you say you do, look a bit deeper into individual teams before making the final choice.


  • Pete says:

    @Sgt Jon:
    Don’t you think this is money for old rope?
    Why not use the list of games from the best of the bookies for multiples e.g. BetVic, pick your home double or treble based on your own intelligence and employ your own stake recovery plan. I just can’t see the value in paying for this strategy when it is something which is easy to do yourself. Now if the ‘author’ actually produced the selections for you and put his neck in the old rope then perhaps there would be some value!
    But at £67 or £87 which is non-refundable this is pure profiteering from something which is easily to DIY!
    Your results are better than mine despite my own research – I have been ‘unlucky’ with some results but am currently at a break even point after 7 bets. Well done on your excellent results so far.

  • Sgt Jon Sgt Jon says:

    Hi Ian

    Thanks for your comment and sorry to learn you are struggling. To some extent I agree with you although I don’t think “ambiguity” is the problem. The author makes it very clear that all final selections are made by the user as long as they adhere to the price rules. Often there are more than two or three qualifiers but the author does suggest looking at form (with examples in the e-manual) and also suggests a bit more in depth research is sometimes necessary rather than just relying on the three top rated matches that qualify on price. As it happens the review is performing well this week where at least two bets involved the top three rated matches.

    However, as a refinement, I tend to look first at those matches where the win probability is strongest (if you have the manual you will know what I mean). But I do then look at recent form, league position and the importance of the match. If one of the strongest qualifiers “fails” on form or is lower in the league than their opponent etc then I may discard that match and look for another. It would be a lot easier if Three Key Football was a defined system where we would all make the same selections, but that is not the case except for the clear price rules.

    I have noticed that the stats site does not always include every match being played which might mean we are missing good opportunities elsewhere. I also think a key part of Three Key Football is in the two staking plans B and C where recent runs have shown the considerable benefit of using Plan C over level stakes.

    Of course, we are only half way through the initial 12 week review and there is still plenty of time for it to go pear shaped! I hope not because I have found Three Key Football to be profitable both in the review and personally.


  • Ian says:

    I have been struggling with this too. There is too much ambiguity in the selections. There has to be a better way of selecting the games in my view and i do think that the author should be doing more.

  • Sgt Jon Sgt Jon says:

    Hi Alexis
    You say you are following the selection criteria according to the manual but have not won this last week? I presume you already own Three Key Football and if so will know that the final selection of matches is at the user’s discretion and as I pointed out in the introduction, this is a strategy rather than a system (apart from following the price rules) where different users will make different selections and therefore get different results.

    In the manual the author makes this observation: “It’s easy to spend an extra 10-15 minutes to research the games a little more and give further confidence in your selections.”

    I start by looking at the top rated matches each day but will also look at form, league position, importance of match etc before making my final selection. As you know this is all covered in the manual.


  • Alexis says:

    I agree with carlos. I’m no way near these trial results. Following the selection criteria to the letter according to the manual just this same week has left me only losses with not a single win this week

  • Sgt Jon Sgt Jon says:

    Hi Carlos

    I can’t explain the selection criteria without disclosing the strategy which would not be fair to the author! The recommended stats site assesses the probability of which team will win in different matches. The user then makes his/her choice based on these probability stats and then looks at Oddschecker to make sure the price rules for a double or treble are met.


  • Carlos says:

    What are the concrete selection criteria that you use? I have been making many loosing selections (for the same days) and don’t understand why! how do you chose in the recommended site? many thanks for your information