Hi Bloggers

After a couple of comments on the blog regarding the lay price at 5.7, I have now amended this to 6.4 which is the figure given in the updated champion lays spreadsheet, which I received this morning – details below:

Date
League
Fixture
Selection
Odds
Result
P/L*
Balance
£2,000.00
01-May-10 LA LIGA Villareal v Barcelona Barcelona 1.64 LOSS £-64.00 £1,936.00
02-May-10 MLS Real Salt Lake v Toronto Toronto 7.00 WIN £95.80 £2,031.80
02-May-10 SERIA A Atalanta v Bologna Bologna 5.20 WIN £95.80 £2,127.60
02-May-10 LA LIGA Bilbao v Mallorca Mallorca 3.80 LOSS £-280.00 £1,847.60
03-May-10 SPL Motherwell v Hibernian Hibernian 4.00 WIN £95.80 £1,943.40
06-May-10 SWE Helsingborgs v Orebro Orebro 5.20 WIN £95.80 £2,039.20
08-May-10 GER Werder Bremen v Hamburg Hamburg 5.70 WIN £95.80 £2,135.00
08-May-10 FRA Montpellier v Lorient Lorient 5.60 WIN £95.80 £2,230.80
08-May-10 SPA Tenerife v Almeria Almeria 5.90 WIN £95.80 £2,326.60
08-May-10 SPA Getafe v Malaga Malaga 4.70 WIN £95.80 £2,422.40
09-May-10 ITA Palermo v Sampdoria Sampdoria 4.20 WIN £95.80 £2,518.20
14-May-10
RUS Rubin Kazan v CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 3.60 LOSS £-260.00 £2,258.20
15-May-10 JAP FC Tokyo v Shimizu FC Tokyo 2.80 WIN £95.80 £2,354.00
15-May-10 SWE Halmstads v Djurgardens Djurgardens 3.90 WIN £95.80 £2,449.80
15-May-10 FRA Sochaux v Auxerre Sochaux 5.80 WIN £95.80 £2,545.60
22-May-10 MLS FC Toronto v New England New England 4.20 WIN £95.80 £2,641.40
23-May-10 BRA Palmeiras v Gremio Gremio 3.95 WIN £95.80 £2,737.20
29-May-10 BRA Avai v Vitoria-BA Vitoria-BA 6.40 WIN £95.80 £2,833.00
29-May-10 BRA Palmeiras v Gr. Prudente Gr. Prudente 6.60 WIN £95.80 £2,928.80
29-May-10 MLS Columbus v Los Angeles Los Angeles 4.00 LOSS £-300.00 £2,628.80
29-May-10 MLS San Jose v Toronto FC Toronto FC 5.80 LOSS £-480.00 £2,148.80
02-Jun-10 BRA Prudente v Ath. Goianiense Goianiense 6.40 WIN £95.80 £2,244.60

*Profit After Betfair Commission

One midweek selection and I have included the in depth analysis, which is always given in the e-mail.

Also another winning lay, to ease those heavy losses last week.

Wednesday, June 2nd
11:30 p.m. – Brazil Campeonato – Gremio Prudente v Ath. Goianiense: lay Ath. Goianiense @ 6.4

(Gremio won 1-0)

Analysis below:

Newly promoted Athletico Goianiense are struggling greatly to cope with top-flight football and could
find themselves right back down in the 2nd division next year if their play doesn’t pick up dramatically.
Since an opening day home draw the visitors have lost 4 matches in a row and been outscored 8-3.
Last time out they were on the receiving end of a 3-1 pasting at home by Goais, a side that occupied
last place in the table and had yet to win this season going into that match. Another of their recent
losses came to Athletico Paranense, a side that that only avoided the drop by a 3-point margin last
season and who had also failed to pick up a win this season before meeting Goianiense.
Gremio Prudente aren’t off to the greatest of starts, but that may due to unkind scheduling as much
as anything else. Although the hosts are 1-2-2 to start the season, their losses came away to Avai
and defending champions Flamengo. They did have an improved away performance on the weekend,
managing a draw at Palmeiras, a side not in the habit of dropping points at home. Last season Gremio
Prudente were very strong at home, compling a 10-7-2 record with 35 goals scored and only 14
conceded. The early signs are that they’ll continue their strong home play this season, as in their 2
home fixtures thusfar they’ve demolished Athletico Mineiro 4-0 and came up with a 2-2 draw against
1st place Corinthians, the only time Corinthians failed to pick up a full 3 points so far this season.

Profit on the day £95.80

Running Bank £2244.60 (Starting Bank £2000; £100 Level stake bets)


Sgt Philip

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