Betting Bubbles – Final Review

Betting Bubbles

Sgt Rob Reviewing Betting Bubbles

This is the final review for Betting Bubbles…for information about the service, please refer to the introduction post here

The review covered 84 betting days over a 90 day period (due to 6 days of no bets)…it started on 25/02/2012 and finished on 24/05/2012.

The Financial Stuff

A 50 pt betting bank was advised and I used 1 pt to equate to £10 stakes.

At the end of the review, the 50 pt bank had swelled to 198.75 pts meaning a profit using stakes advised of 148.75 pts.

I also conducted a level stakes review…whilst this wasn’t requested by the vendor, we try and do it here on BST as it can be a handy comparison for our other final reviews.  Starting with a 100 pt bank and betting 1 pt stakes, this bank ended up at 112.52 pts, a profit of 12.52 pts.

Statistics

Bets were advised using bookmakers only…no exchange betting was advised…for some of the selections, a slightly higher price could obtained on the exchanges, but not enough to cause a major increase in the profit obtained via bookmakers.

15 bookmakers were used : Bet 365, Bet Victor, Bet Fred, Bet Win, Blue Square, Bodog, Boylesports, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Sky Bet, Sporting Bet, Stan James, Tote Sport and William Hill.

In total, 132 bets were advised over 5 sports : Football, Golf, Premier League Darts, Rugby Union and Rugby League (I started off keeping the two Rugby codes separate and never merged them back together).

The 132 bets used a total stake of 716 pts and as mentioned above, generated a profit of 148.75 pts.

A quick breakdown for you to peruse :

Sport Bets Pts Staked Profit/Loss ROI (%)
Football 44 257 18.18 7.07
Golf 32 155 39.41 25.43
P.L. Darts 22 94 29.84 31.74
Rugby L 23 150 41.22 27.48
Rugby U 11 60 20.10 33.50
Total 132 716 148.75 20.78

Each bet was to be advised using a stake of between 1 and 10 pts…we never received any 1 pt or 9 pt stakes, but here is a breakdown of the bets by the other stakes :

Stake (pts) Bets Winners Tot Staked (pts) Profit/Loss (pts) ROI (%)
2 9 1 18 -13.60 -75.56
3 9 4 27 -3.81 -14.11
4 32 13 128 13.24 10.34
5 25 9 125 -23.78 -19.02
6 23 13 138 30.61 22.18
7 16 13 112 68.87 61.49
8 6 2 48 -17.46 -36.38
10 12 8 120 94.68 78.90
Total 132 63 716 148.75 20.78

And one final table to breakdown the above :

Stake (pts) Sport Bets Winners Staked (pts) Profit/loss (pts)
2 Football 1 1 2 2.40
Golf 7 0 14 -14.00
P.L. Darts 1 0 2 -2.00
Total 9 1 18 -13.60
3 Football 5 1 15 -9.00
Rugby U 3 3 9 8.19
Golf 1 0 3 -3.00
Total 9 4 27 -3.81
4 Football 9 1 36 -26.00
Rugby U 1 1 4 3.64
Rugby L 1 0 4 -4.00
Golf 5 2 20 2.00
P.L. Darts 16 9 64 37.60
Total 32 13 128 13.24
5 Football 6 4 30 19.29
Rugby L 4 3 20 9.55
Rugby U 1 0 5 -5.00
P.L. Darts 3 1 15 -3.12
Golf 11 1 55 -44.50
Total 25 9 125 -23.78
6 Rugby L 8 6 48 28.35
Rugby U 1 0 6 -6.00
Golf 3 2 18 12.00
Football 10 4 60 -8.10
P.L. Darts 1 1 6 4.36
Total 23 13 138 30.61
7 Rugby L 6 4 42 12.78
Rugby U 4 4 28 27.27
Football 4 4 28 31.15
Golf 1 1 7 4.67
P.L. Darts 1 0 7 -7.00
Total 16 13 112 68.87
8 Football 2 0 16 -16.00
Golf 1 0 8 -8.00
Rugby U 1 0 8 -8.00
Rugby L 2 2 16 14.54
Total 6 2 48 -17.46
10 Golf 3 3 30 90.24
Football 7 5 70 24.44
Rugby L 2 0 20 -20.00
Total 12 8 120 94.68
Grand Total 132 63 716 148.75

Thoughts On Golf

There were 32 golf bets advised…these generally fell into 2 different types – 1) Win or each way betting on a named golfer in the overall tournament betting or 2) Bets on a player to win a 3 ball and the like.

From option 1 above there were 24 bets with 23 losers – the one exception being Luke Donald who gained us 75 pts when he won after being advised 5 pts each way at 12/1.

In total for the golf, 32 bets (9 winners) were advised using stakes of 155 pts for an overall profit of 39.41 pts. However, if you were to ignore the option 1 bets (e.g. concentrate on option 2 and 3 ball betting etc), even though you would lose the Donald return, the golf statistics now become 8 winning bets out of 8 with 52 pts outlayed to return 57.41 pts.

By doing this, you would have chopped 24/132 bets (18.18%) and saved on your pts outlay by 14.39% having trimmed 716 pts down to 613 pts.

Just something I noticed and maybe food for thought…

Other Thoughts

The lowest our bank reached during the trial was on 07/03 when it was at 38.57 pts, meaning a cumulative profit/loss at the time of -11.43 pts.  By 10/03 it had clawed it’s way back into positive territory before dipping back to negativity on 11/03.  12/03 was a no-bet day and on 13/03, Luke Donald was advised to win the Transitions Championship – and did so – meaning our profit/loss after that event stood at +72.47 pts and started increasing from there.

In terms of losing streaks, from 03/03 to 08/03 (which comprised of 5 betting days due to 1 no-bet day), we staked 46 pts for a return of -26.45 pts.  And from 25/04 to 29/04 we staked 55 pts for a return of -45 pts.

In terms of winning streaks, as mentioned, the golf win of +75 pts was outstanding and from 19/04 to 24/04 we staked 46 pts for a profit of +38.57 pts.

In terms of how much was being staked, the biggest daily stakes occurred on : 11/03 (20 pts from a bank that stood at 51.72 pts), 21/03 (20 pts from a bank of 143.97 pts) and 31/03 (21 pts from a bank that stood at 117.93 pts).

Staking And Money Management

You are advised to use a bank of 50 pts.  Common sense dictates the more you bet, the more you win.  So with our final profit of +148.75 pts, at equating £10 to 1 pt (as I did during the review) means a profit over the 84 betting days of £1487.50

A quick table can show the effects of using different stakes – profit is calculated by multiplying stake by the overall profit of 148.75 pts – it does not include the subscription cost to the service.

Stake Profit
£1 £148.75
£5 £743.75
£10 £1,487.50
£25 £3,718.75
£50 £7,437.50
£100 £14,875.00

At higher stakes, things look very tasty indeed, but you need to be able to ensure you can get your bets on.  At £100 per point, a 5 pt each way bet on Luke Donald to win a golf tournament equates to £500 each way but you need to consider if the bookie in question will take the bet.

Somewhere near the start of this review, I also mentioned that we used 15 different bookmakers.  This means that there may be some money floating around in cyberspace (where they debit your card instantly but can only credit it in 2 or 3 working days).

The Final Rating

I’ve been umming and aahing about this for a while now.  The review period generated a profit of +148.75 pts in 84 betting days…as a standalone fact I think that could merit a rating of 4 stars.

But at times there has been a little element of a rollercoaster ride…staying in for the whole ride did prove to have it’s benefits though.

I will pass this and award Betting Bubbles 3.5 stars

Betting Bubbles

As usual, any comments then please shout!

Cheers for now,

See the Betting Bubbles sales page here…

Sgt Rob Reviewing Betting Bubbles