Winning Racing Tips Day 66-72

Monday 5th July 

 
Each Way Value:
2.15 Newton Abbot 4. Unleashed 0.5pt e/w (9/2 Betfred*/Betinternet* or 5/1
Sportingbet, 4/1 ok) 
2.15 Newton Abbot 10. Tuppenny Piece 0.2pt e/w (14/1 StanJames*/Betfred*)

The strategy here is to take on the top two in the market with the 3rd and
4th in the market. Its difficult ot make a case for the remaining 5
runners. Unleashed was decent on the flat, the best of these at his peak,
and is unexposed over hurdles with just the one start. I liked the look of
that 4th place where he ran well enough and the run of the race didn't
particulary suit finding himself off the pace just at the wrong time. The
favourite here has obvious ability having won two bumpers but is untried
over hurdles. Minneapolis ran well last time in a handicap hurdle but with
only one third place to show from 5 hurdle runs I couldn't back him at 3/1.
Tuppenny Piece Improved from 1st to 2nd start over hurldes when 3rd last
time out, the distance is a concern but she is improving and her available
odds of 14/1 make her a value bet.

Result 
 Unleashed , PU held up mid-division, weakened from 4 out, pulled up before 2 out

 
Tuppenny Piece 5th , tracked leader, ridden after 3 out, weakened approaching last

Tuesday 6th July

Each Way Value:
The form was turned on its head in yesterdays race and its not one to
dwell on, although in hindsight perhaps the 33/1 winner and 40/1 third are
not that surprising given they are trained by Paul Nicholls and David Pipe.


5.00 Pontefract 7. Charming Man 0.6pt e/w ONLY IF 3/1 or better. (check
liveshow)
I've had a long think about this one and I just cant recommend 11/4. The
race basically looks between the Spencer and Dettori ridden pair, with
possible improver Hidden and dark horse Lajidaal looking the only credible
threats. Charming Man made up a lot of ground over the last 4f last time
out after getting behind early on and you'd expect Dettori to do a better
job than the 7lb claimer that was on board that day. Dettori has a 50%
strike rate with the new Godolphin stable so far. Fascination is improving
too, and finished in front of the selection last time out, but that one
wasn't further in front at the finish than he was 4f out so there probably
isn't much between them and it might come down to which has improved the
most or which is given the best ride today.

Result no bet biggest price was 11/4  

Wednesday 7th July 

 
Each Way Value:

There are a few "nearly selections today", but I cant recommend anything.
The races coming up at the moment aren't throwing up much for us. We
haven't had a losing month in a long time and I certainly don't want to
"engineer" one by betting for the sake of it, so nothing again today.

Thursday 8th July 

 
Each Way Value:

As it turns out we dodged a bullet yesterday by not betting as the
possible bet was unplaced. Not betting is sometimes as important as finding
the winners. 

8.50 Doncaster 1. Bahamian Jazz 0.5pt e/w (5/1 Betinternet*, 9/2
VCBet*/Sportingbet)
This one has been a tough decision between Bahamian Jazz and Oh So Spicy.
At the prices it too risky to back both so I've down on the side of the
bigger priced runner. Bahamian Jazz didn't show a lot on his first two
starts but was then gelded and was unlucky not to win last time out. Oh So
Spicy showed good form on debut and wasn't knocked about, but there are
question marks over that form. There is only a handful of others that can
come into calculations but none of which can match the level of form the
pick showed last time out, including the favourite.

Result, hung left throughout, behind, ridden and headway into mid-division 4f out,
 kept on same pace final 2f, never on terms

Friday 9th July 

 
Good Afternoon   ,

I'm away this weekend therefore the next update will be Monday 19th. 

Each Way Value:
Today there is again a couple of nearly races but the value just isn't
there so I'm not recommending anything.
It is a quiet period now which obviously requires patience, and I'm aware
that me being away this weekend doesn't help matters but it is a commitment
I cant get out of. I prefer quiet periods to losing runs!

Saturday 10th July 

No Selections 

Sunday 11th July 

No Selections 

Again another quite week with only 3 bets

Day 66/72 - 2.4 points  

Starting Bank 1,000 
 
Bank end off day 65 1,365

Bank end of day 72 1,305

Points Profit/loss + 12.25
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