Winning Racing Tips Day 80 – 84
Monday 19th July
Each Way Value:
2.45 Yarmouth 2. A Little Bit Dusty 0.4pt e/w (5/1 Paddy*/Lads*/SJ*)
& 4. Highlife Dancer 0.2pt e/w (10/1 Boyles*, 9/1 Bet365*/vcbet*)
We've missed some bigger prices on A Little Bit Dusty but I'm still happy
with around 5/1 as I think its place chances are shorter than Evens. (If
you can get above 6.25 and 2.05 on the exchange then by all means use
Betfair.) A Little Bit Dusty has ran well both starts including over this
distance last time out only beaten a half length. Highlife Dancer showed
promise on debut and ran out of sorts last time out, not handling the
track. However his debut form puts him in the mix in this, Mick Channon has
won this race 3 times in the last 7 years and is a nice price at 10/1.
Result 1st Highlife dancer held up behind, headway on inside over 1f out,
ridden to lead inside final furlong, held on well
A Little bit dusty, 6th went left start, chased leaders,
ridden and weakened inside final furlong
Tuesday 20th July
Each Way Value:
No Selections today.
Wednesday 21st July
Each Way Value:
2.00 Lingfield 11. So Choosy 0.4pt e/w (13/2 Betinternet*, 6/1
Paddypower*/Bluesquare )
Finishing 6th of 7 on debut doesn't look too encouraging on first
inspection however So Choosy was basically on the wrong side of a blanket
finish for 2nd place in that race, wasn't knocked about and was only beaten
a short distance. So taking all into account it wasn't a bad run. Apart
from the favourite there is a lack of form in this race and with this one
being from the Hannon stable improvement is likely especially with Richard
Hughes taking over on top. He has a remarkable 38% strike rate on the
stables juveniles this year.
Result 9th raced wide, held up, weakened over 2f out
2.50 Worcester 3. Admiral Dundas 0.7pt e/w (5/1 Betinternet,
Bet365*/VCBet*)
This one was good on the flat and has improved both starts as a hurdler
over course and distance. Only beaten 2 and a half lengths last time out by
the second favourite having given up some ground when making a mistake at
the second last. His jumping will probably need to be better today but he
faces Dreamwalk on better terms with that one carrying a penalty. The
favourite obviously has ability but isn't guaranteed to be suited by the
ground and carries a massive double penalty today. The rest of the field
either have poor form or no form which makes this a very good value bet.
Result Non Runner
Thursday 22nd July
Each Way Value:
No selections today.
So Choosy (as short as 1.63 to place on the exchange) ran a shocker
yesterday and either didn't take to the surface or is one of the worst
2yo's in the Hannon yard.
Admiral Dundas was a non runner.
Friday 23rd July
Each Way Value:
5.45 Southwell 1. Thomas Bell 0.5pt e/w (9/2 Betinternet*/Sportingbet)
A rare bet in a bumper race today with this one which won last time out.
He looked to be running green that day and is open to improvement. The
penalty does make life harder for him today but his jockey takes off 7lb
which will help, the race he won was only a 6 runner event but a couple of
the horses he beat had decent bumper form behind them at that reads well in
the context of this race. I dont like the look of most of the field here
and outside the selection and the favourite I only rate Nonobu and St
Encoder as dangers. You can ignore the first run of Thomas Bell as he was
unwell and broke a blood vessel and he looks to have every chance today
Result 9th held up in rear, took keen hold, headway and hung right over 6f out,
ran wide and weakened over 3f out
Starting Bank 1,000
Bank end of day 79 1,187
Bank end of day 84 1,182
Points Profit/loss + 7.33
That brings the end to the 84 day trial of Winning racing tips,
i will be putting my final review up tomorrow evening
Regards
Danny
