SAMS LUCKY 9 LAYS FINAL REVIEW
UPDATE 20th AUGUST 2011
We have been advised by Betfan that this product is no longer available, as the author has discontinued it.
Sgt Ian-Reviews Sams Lucky 9 Lays
First let me apologise for the lateness of this final review. I have experienced a really hextic period combined with some major network issues in my area.
For £9.99 per week, you get access to all selections for Sams Lucky 9 Lays that are provided in two formats. The first is an email sent out by the system author Sam, this is backed up by forum access to Betfan. During the trial of Sams Lucky 9 Lays there were 66 selections over the 84 betting days, which works out at just under 0.80 selections per day.
Selections are to be placed at Betfair SP odds with a maximum price range of 9.00, hence the name Sams Lucky 9 Lays. During the trial the maximum odds did reach the 9.00 mark but also went as low as 1.58. But herein lies the problem, with the amount of selections being low, it only takes one of the higher priced selections to win its race and your profit gets wiped out.
The trial started very well indeed, we won the first 11 selections in a row, and only lost on one selection out of the first 22, racing out to 17.80pts profit to level stakes. By this time 40 days of the trial had passed and for the next 24 days the system slowed down profit wise, and due to the odd losing selection wiping out previous profit runs the period returned a modest profit of +5.27pts, the total now +23.07pts.
It was from day 65 that things started to go downhill for Sams Lucky 9 Lays, between day 65 and 84 we had a strike rate of just 52.13%, it doesn’t take a mathematician to work out that that is nowhere near good enough. We lost 17.16pts, an even though we ended the trial in profit, some major cracks in the system had been uncovered.
I don’t have any resounding proof, but I am of the belief that Sam on occasions is prone to chasing losses. There were quite a few occasions where after a losing day we all of a sudden got more than the normal 1 daily selection. At first I let this pass, but it started to become too frequent to be pure coincidence. Now any bettor worth his salt will tell you, that chasing losses is a mugs game, and is a road that only has one destination….the poor house.
Sams Lucky 9 Lays itself seems to be well run, although I personally prefer more accessibility to the author themselves. Support is managed via Betfan, now I know there has been lots of flippant comments in the past regarding their outfit. They are in my opinion a well run, well organised marketing firm. Any queries I have had with them in the past have always been dealt with promptly and effectively.
I have done some analysis on the trial results for the 84 days. And if you take into consideration the subscription fees you would have had to stake £22 as a level stake just to break even. When you consider the maximum liability at the highest odds is £176, you are going to need quite a large set of cahoonas let alone betting bank to play at those rates.
I have built a large database of Sams Lucky 9 Lays selections that I have used for these statistics and it is available to you upon request to admin. Its an interactive excel sheet and all you need to do is enter your initial bank amount and what number of points you would like to divide the bank by. These are defaulted to £1000 start bank and dividing by 150, which I am sure you will agree is a sensible staking plan for a laying system.
So I’m afraid my decision is to fail Sams Lucky 9 Lays, even though it has ended its trial in a small profit. This is based on the following facts:
a) Needs large stakes to break even or see return long term
b) Needs an aggressive staking plan to see a profit
c) Short and long term gains are outweighed by service cost
Regardless of potential ALL systems are ultimately judged on success. And Sam’s Lucky 9 Lays is no different. The long term level profits of the 7mths Sams Lucky 9 Lays has been in existance to date are just +1.29pts, I think that says it all really.
I have continued access to Sams Lucky 9 Lays selections and i will continue to monitor performance with a view to possibly reviewing again in the future.
Sgt Ian- Reviews Sams Lucky 9 Lays